It is hard to judge the USA political process and likelihoods from a foreign/Norwegian perspective.
Especially for someone following the Norwegian media.
Your best bet then is to look at the betting sites.
These are the numbers right now. If you believe otherwise, don’t fret.
Put your money where you mouth is instead and bet against it.
Obama 47% chance.
Mc Cain 39% chance
Clinton 11% chance
…
Ron Paul 0.5% 🙂
Of becoming the next president.
http://www.intrade.com/partners.jsp?ZID=4775&AID=1&CID=2&page=trade&selConID=443007
You have to scroll down on the scrollbar to “Presidential Election Individual” to find the numbers.
Stupid system will not let me cope the link to the actual page.
Farmann - TV Norway